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John Cronin

Let Detroit Go Bankrupt

I Googled Gov. Romney’s NYT article on his advise to let Detroit’s auto industry go bankrupt and I found that there were 39,500 entries for “Romney Detroit Bankruptcy.” Since a conservative Republican like Mitt Romney could never in his wildest dreams count on the political support of the UAW, I guess he is completely free to speak his mind.

Although no American of goodwill takes any satisfaction in the plight of the auto industry and it’s workers, the sooner the bloated cost structure is jettisoned, the sooner a leaner, meaner American auto industry can re-emerge. I sincerely hope the industry is allowed to restructure itself and can come back with great cars and trucks that can compete with anything on the market and that the “Made in America” stamp on our products can once again become the envy of the world.

~~John Cronin~~

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/opinion/19romney.html

By: Mitt Romney

If General Motors, Ford and Chrysler get the bailout that their chief executives asked for yesterday, you can kiss the American automotive industry goodbye. It won’t go overnight, but its demise will be virtually guaranteed.

Without that bailout, Detroit will need to drastically restructure itself. With it, the automakers will stay the course — the suicidal course of declining market shares, insurmountable labor and retiree burdens, technology atrophy, product inferiority and never-ending job losses. Detroit needs a turnaround, not a check.

I love cars, American cars. I was born in Detroit, the son of an auto chief executive. In 1954, my dad, George Romney, was tapped to run American Motors when its president suddenly died. The company itself was on life support — banks were threatening to deal it a death blow. The stock collapsed. I watched Dad work to turn the company around — and years later at business school, they were still talking about it. From the lessons of that turnaround, and from my own experiences,

I have several prescriptions for Detroit’s automakers.

First, their huge disadvantage in costs relative to foreign brands must be eliminated. That means new labor agreements to align pay and benefits to match those of workers at competitors like BMW, Honda, Nissan and Toyota. Furthermore, retiree benefits must be reduced so that the total burden per auto for domestic makers is not higher than that of foreign producers.

That extra burden is estimated to be more than $2,000 per car. Think what that means: Ford, for example, needs to cut $2,000 worth of features and quality out of its Taurus to compete with Toyota’s Avalon. Of course the Avalon feels like a better product — it has $2,000 more put into it. Considering this disadvantage, Detroit has done a remarkable job of designing and engineering its cars. But if this cost penalty persists, any bailout will only delay the inevitable.

Second, management as is must go. New faces should be recruited from unrelated industries — from companies widely respected for excellence in marketing, innovation, creativity and labor relations.

The new management must work with labor leaders to see that the enmity between labor and management comes to an end. This division is a holdover from the early years of the last century, when unions brought workers job security and better wages and benefits. But as Walter Reuther, the former head of the United Automobile Workers, said to my father, “Getting more and more pay for less and less work is a dead-end street.”

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Steve Andrew

Romney Again Exhibits Common Sense

November 19th, 2008 | 3 Comments | Posted in Mitt Romney

Let Detroit Go Bankrupt by Mitt Romney

But don’t ask Washington to give shareholders and bondholders a free pass — they bet on management and they lost.

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John Cronin

30 reasons for Great Depression 2 by 2011

November 18th, 2008 | 8 Comments | Posted in Business and Economic Expansion, wall street

I don’t agree with many of the conclusions reached by the author of this article and I most assuredly hope he is wrong about another Depression looming on the horizon. I posted this as a FYI about what some market opinion makers are thinking.

~~John Cronin~~

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Well-Great-Depression-2-2011/story.aspx?guid={B28B49B5-EFD1-4941-B57E-A2BA1545BA09}

New-New Deal, bailouts, trillions in debt, antitax mindset spell disaster

ARROYO GRANDE, Calif. (MarketWatch) – By 2011? No recovery? No new bull? “Hey Paul, why do you keep talking about a bigger crash coming by 2011?” Readers ask that often. So here’s a sequel to my predictions of 2000 and 2004, with a look three years ahead:

First. Dot-com crash

We pinpointed the dot-com crash at its peak, in a March 20, 2000 column: “Next crash? Sorry, you won’t see it coming.” Bulls-eye: The dot-com bubble popped. The economy went into a 30-month recession. The stock market lost $8 trillion. And today, over eight years later, the market is still roughly 40% below its 2000 peak. See previous Paul B. Farrell.

Factor in inflation and the average stock has lost well over 50% of its value. Stocks have proven to be a very big loser, a bad investment for Americans, thanks to Wall Street’s selfish greed, plus the complicity and naiveté of politicians, press and public.

Second. Subprime meltdown

We reported on warnings of another crash coming as early as 2004, wrote a sequel, also titled “Next crash? Sorry, you won’t see it coming.” Yes, we were early, but in good company. We wrote many more warning columns. Few listened.

Subsequent events, notably former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan’s admission of his failures in congressional testimony, prove that if he and other Reaganomic ideologues weren’t so myopic and intransigent about proving their free-market deregulation theories, they could have acted earlier and prevented today’s colossal mess. Instead, their ideology kept the bubble blowing, delayed the pop, making matters worse.

So once again, as history proves over and over, ideology trumps common sense, reality and the facts. Greed drives ideologues to blow bubbles. They pop. Crashes happen. The public is collateral damage.

Third. Megabubble cycles

We also detailed the broader, accelerating macroeconomic sweep of cycles last summer in columns like “20 reasons new megabubble pops in 2011.” We summarized a long list of major warnings from financial periodicals — Forbes, Fortune, the Wall Street Journal, Economist — and from the voices of Warren Buffett, Bill Gross, a sitting Fed governor and a former Commerce secretary. Multiple warnings “hiding in plain sight,” beginning with a Fed governor warning Greenspan in 2000 about subprime risk.

But the big shocker came from the new Treasury secretary two years before the meltdown: Bloomberg News reports that shortly after leaving Wall Street as Goldman Sachs’ CEO, Henry Paulson was at Camp David warning the president and his staff of “over-the-counter derivatives as an example of financial innovation that could, under certain circumstances, blow up in Wall Street’s face and affect the whole economy.”

Yes, they knew. And still both Paulson, a Wall Street insider, and Greenspan’s successor, Ben Bernanke, a Princeton scholar of the Great Depression, stayed trapped in denial and kept happy-talking the public for months after the meltdown began in mid-2007. Get it? While they could have put the brakes on this meltdown years ago, our leaders were prisoners of their distorted, inflexible views of conservative Reaganomics ideology.

As a result, once again the “best and the brightest” failed America and now they and their buddies in Washington and Corporate America are setting up the Crash of 2011.

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Mike Laub

Ship of fools

November 17th, 2008 | 14 Comments | Posted in Mitt Romney

I was listening to a podcast from the economist and came across this article:

Nov 13th 2008
From The Economist print edition
Political parties die from the head down

JOHN STUART MILL once dismissed the British Conservative Party as the stupid party. Today the Conservative Party is run by Oxford-educated high-fliers who have been busy reinventing conservatism for a new era. As Lexington sees it, the title of the “stupid party” now belongs to the Tories’ transatlantic cousins, the Republicans.

There are any number of reasons for the Republican Party’s defeat on November 4th. But high on the list is the fact that the party lost the battle for brains. Barack Obama won college graduates by two points, a group that George Bush won by six points four years ago. He won voters with postgraduate degrees by 18 points. And he won voters with a household income of more than $200,000—many of whom will get thumped by his tax increases—by six points. John McCain did best among uneducated voters in Appalachia and the South.

The Republicans lost the battle of ideas even more comprehensively than they lost the battle for educated votes, marching into the election armed with nothing more than slogans. Energy? Just drill, baby, drill. Global warming? Crack a joke about Ozone Al. Immigration? Send the bums home. Torture and Guantánamo? Wear a T-shirt saying you would rather be water-boarding. Ha ha. During the primary debates, three out of ten Republican candidates admitted that they did not believe in evolution (Senator Sam Brownback, former Gov. Mike Huckabee and Representative Tom Tancredo said they did not).

(Here is some information from the New York Times).

May 11, 2007, 10:19 AM

Romney Elaborates on Evolution 

By MICHAEL LUO

DES MOINES, May 11 — Mitt Romney expanded on his belief in evolution in an interview earlier this week, staking out a position that could put him at odds with some conservative Christians, a key voting bloc he is courting.

Mr. Romney, a devout Mormon, surprised some observers when he was not among those Republican candidates who raised their hands last week when asked at the Republican presidential debate if they did not believe in evolution. (Senator Sam Brownback, former Gov. Mike Huckabee and Representative Tom Tancredo said they did not.)

“I believe that God designed the universe and created the universe,” Mr. Romney said in an interview this week. “And I believe evolution is most likely the process he used to create the human body.”

He was asked: Is that intelligent design? 

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John Cronin

Top Goldman Sachs Executives Will Not Receive Bonuses for 2008

November 16th, 2008 | No Comments | Posted in Business, wall street

Woo Hoo!! At last, some common sense. Now if we poor, exploited taxpayers could get back the $440,000 blown by the big-spending party boys over at AIG, I’d be feeling better about the bailout, but not by much.

~~John Cronin~~

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122687023712831667.html

By SUSANNE CRAIG

The seven top executives at Wall Street firm Goldman Sachs Group Inc. will not receive bonuses for 2008, according to a Goldman spokesman.

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John Cronin

Romney’s Role In The RNC Race

Interesting article gossiping about a possible Romney role in the selection of one of his allies as the next chair of the RNC. If this story is true, IMHO, it lends further credence to Gov. Romney’s continued interest in making another run in 2012.

~~John Cronin~~

http://thephoenix.com/BLOGS/talkingpolitics/archive/2008/11/14/romney-s-role-in-the-rnc-race.aspx

It now appears true that Fred Thompson really does want to be chair of the Republican National Committee; Thompson obviously doesn’t expect to do any actual work, so the quickly-travelling rumor is that Thompson plans to run as a team with Chuck Yob, long-time political kingpin in Michigan, with Thompson taking a more ceremonial “general chair” title, and Yob actually running the operation.

I can only hope this rumor is true; this could turn the RNC chair battle into a very ugly — and entertaining — affair.

As you might imagine, 2012 GOP Presidential hopefuls have a significant interest in who gets picked to head up the party. I assume — as do others here and there in the rumormongering biz — that Mitt Romney is behind the candidacy of Michigan Chair Saul Anuzis. (Mike Huckabee has a horse in the race: his former campaign manager Chip Saltsman. Other potential nominees have surrogates in the mix as well.)

You can probably guess that Thompson is not a big fan of our former governor, because of the way reporters were talking about how all of the GOP candidates hated the Mittster. One particular sign was that, after it was clear that he was out of contention, Thompson remained in the Presidential race through the Florida primary in what seemed like a deliberate strategy to draw conservative votes from Romney and help his buddy McCain win that crucial state.

Oh, but that’s nothing compared to the enmity between Romney and the aforementioned Yob. Yob headed up McCain’s Michigan campaign in the primary against Romney. But that’s just the latest. I highly recommend this account (in the second half of the article) of how Yob prevented Mitt’s brother Scott from becoming the state’s Attorney General in 1998. That was four years after Yob helped defeat Scott’s wife Ronna Romney in the Republican primary for US Senate. Do you think Mitt remembers that kind of thing?

You’ll also get a flavor from that 2006 story of how much love is not lost between Anuzis and Yob. Since then, Yob attempted to oust Anuzis as Michigan party chair — Anuzis not only beat down the attempt, but then helped oust Yob from his post as Michigan’s RNC National Committeeman, which he had held for eight years.

Published Nov 14 2008, 10:15 AM by David S. Bernstein

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Matthew Kilburn

Romney Shows GOP the Path Back to the Majority

November 14th, 2008 | 4 Comments | Posted in Mitt Romney

In the aftermath of the 2008 landslide, the Republican party appears to have fractured - split over where the party has to go to return to the majority. The theories range from the predictable: dumping one branch or another of conservatism to attract votes, to the far more exotic: some have suggested Republicans adopt an approach similar to that used to revive the Tory party in England.

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Matthew Kilburn

(CNN) Is Romney the Man to Save the GOP?

November 13th, 2008 | 30 Comments | Posted in Mitt Romney

WASHINGTON (CNN) — As Republican leaders sift through the ruins of the 2008 election and debate the party’s future at the Republican Governors Association meeting this week, one of the GOP’s potential standard-bearers is instead on a Caribbean cruise.

But it isn’t just any cruise and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney isn’t just any Republican. Since the economy began its historic downturn six weeks ago, Romney’s stock in his party appears to have skyrocketed. ..

…But should Romney decide on a second presidential run, he’s likely to face a friendlier reception than his first go-around. The base may to be more convinced of Romney’s conservative commitment if he’s willing to take another stab at the presidency, activists say, and the Republican Party has a history of rewarding presidential candidates who have run at least once and lost.

“There is a tradition in the Republican Party — you run first for the nomination and lose, and then you run and get it,” Wayne said, pointing to Presidents Reagan and George H.W. Bush, former Sen. Bob Dole and McCain.

“Losing once is almost a badge of honor among Republicans.”

You can read the full story at CNN.com

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Ann Marie Curling

Check Out This Site…Saul Anuzis for RNC Chair!

November 13th, 2008 | No Comments | Posted in GOP, Michigan, RNC Chair, Saul Anuzis

Saul Anuzis for RNC Chair, The Comeback Starts Now!

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John Cronin

Palin to give views on the future of the GOP

November 13th, 2008 | 18 Comments | Posted in Mitt Romney

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081113/ap_on_el_pr/republican_governors

MIAMI – Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is sending signals that she is open to running for president in 2012, but another potential candidate is sending a different message: Republicans can’t get ahead of themselves.

Palin, this year’s Republican vice presidential nominee, is going to talk to Republican governors Thursday in a panel discussion called “Looking Towards the Future: The GOP in Transition.” She’s already making it clear that she wants to be a big part of that transition.

She was asked Wednesday, after arriving at the Republican Governors Association conference, about speculation that she is the party’s future.

“I don’t think it’s me personally, I think it’s what I represent,” Palin told reporters. “Everyday hardworking American families — a woman on the ticket perhaps represents that. It would be good for the ticket. It would be good for the party. I would be happy to get to do whatever is asked of me to help progress this nation.”

Later, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour told his peers that now isn’t the time to think about the next presidential election.

“Anybody here tonight that has thought about the 2012 presidential election needs to keep their eye on the ball,” Barbour, a former Republican Party chairman, told a reception for the governors and their supporters. “We don’t need to talk about 2012.”

Instead, he said the future of the Republican Party is with its governors since the GOP has lost power in Congress and the White House. With 38 governors’ seats up for election in the next two years, that’s what the party has to focus on, he said.

“That’s how you get your party back going. And if you think this is practice time for people running for president in 2012, they need to get back in line. The next two years are the years that matter,” Barbour said.

Palin didn’t attend events with the governors on Wednesday, instead choosing to do interviews with CNN. On Thursday, she planned a news conference before starting a panel discussion on the party’s future. While several of the governors at the conference are considered potential candidates in 2012, she is the only one acknowledging that she’ll consider it.

Among others talked about as potential nominees are Barbour and Govs. Charlie Crist of Florida, Bobby Jindal of Louisiana and Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota. Each had advice for the party, but none discussed their personal 2012 plans.

The governors, though, faced a lot of questions about Palin, who energized the Republican base but wasn’t as popular with independent voters in the election she and John McCain lost to Barack Obama and Joe Biden.

“Gov. Palin is a extremely talented person and she’s going to be one of the key voices for the party, for the Republicans, for a long time to come,” Pawlenty said.

But he, like other governors, was careful about what he said about Palin, her role in the last election and her future.

“We’re still getting to know her,” Pawlenty said. “All I can say is that John McCain made it very clear that one of his key criteria for selecting a VP running mate was going to be, amongst other things, was that person was ready to be president from day one. So in his judgment she met that criteria and he felt strongly about that and so I would have to defer to his judgment.”

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John Cronin

Obama vs. Pelosi

November 10th, 2008 | 114 Comments | Posted in Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Congress, Democrats, Republicans

Pollster Doug Shoen is quoted in the excerpt below warning the Democrats not to attempt to govern as if the Republican Party has vanished from the face of the earth. Bill Clinton & Co. tried it throughout 1993 and promptly got their little hands slapped by the voters in the 1994 mid-terms.

It is up to activists like the participants on this site to keep holding the feet of your respective Congressional delegations to the fire in order to limit the damage of the incoming administration. If they stray too far from the moderate path, it is up to us and many others across the nation to restore some balance to Congress in 2010.

~~John Cronin~~

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122609968752809797.html

Barack Obama obviously has thought carefully about mistakes made by previous Democratic presidential winners who wrongly believed a Congress controlled by their own party would help make them a success.

Pollster Doug Schoen, who helped Bill Clinton win re-election in 1996 over overwhelming odds after the 1994 Democratic debacle, recently warned in a Journal op-ed: “If the Democrats govern as if there is no Republican Party, they are likely headed to the kind of reaction that Bill Clinton faced when he made the same misjudgment after the 1992 election victory.” Mr. Schoen cites specifically a meeting in Little Rock after the election with Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell and House Speaker Tom Foley, when Mr. Clinton agreed to defer to Congress on key elements of his legislative agenda. The subsequent lurch to the left did incalculable damage to his presidency.

That may be one reason why Mr. Obama has chosen Rahm Emanuel, a respected member of the Congressional leadership, to become his new White House Chief of Staff. Mr. Emanuel has a reputation as a tough partisan, but he has also exhibited impatience with left-wing members of his party who have overly ambitious ideological agendas. A likely first assignment for Mr. Emanuel will be reminding House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid that, after only two years of Democratic control, Congress already has a lower approval rating than even President Bush’s.

To the extent Mr. Obama becomes a successful president, it will be because he remains his own man and trusts the brilliant political instincts that have gotten him this far, this fast.

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John Cronin

We Lost the Election but Won the Debate

The Republican party is in the Jacuzzi this morning, trying to soak out the pain and stiffness from the bruising defeat it just suffered. The American people have rightly rebuked us for forgetting what the Republican Party used to stand for. We foolishly abandoned fiscal conservatism, oversaw a dramatic escalation in the size and scope of the federal government, chalked up record deficits and insisted on nominating a guy who, for the most part, couldn’t be distinguished from the run of the mill Democrat when it came to most of his policies.

For me, there where no surprises on election night. I said to friends and to commenters on this site that I expected a fairly close popular vote, but a big electoral defeat, and that is what happened. In the waning days off the campaign, when crowds called out to McCain to get tough with Obama, to fight harder for the principles that were important to them, you just knew this ticket was in big trouble. There was more passion, more fire in the belly of the people in the crowds than there was within the nominee.

As we look at the smoking ruins of what’s left of Congressional Republicans, it is apparent to me that we must bulldoze the landscape clean, so that we can start the rebuilding process. That has already started. The work of purging the Party of the people responsible for the loss began on Election night as the voters rejected McCain. I sincerely hope any future leadership role for him in this party has also been rejected by the rank and file as well. Hopefully, we have learned some hard lessons. As Rush Limbaugh said several days ago, when will Republicans ever learn that conservative Republicans never lose and moderate Republicans never win? These past attempts by Republicans to ingratiate themselves to the MSM and to left-center voters never works at the national level.

In spite of all the negative feelings we are working our way through, the rebuilding process that has already started is giving cause for a much more optimistic view of the future.

An article in Friday’s WSJ provides a stunning quote from none other than the ubiguitous Nancy Pelosi. “Speaker Nancy Pelosi called for a two-stage effort to boost the shaky U.S. economy: a $60 billion-to $100 billion stimulus package this month, followed early next year by a companion measure that would include a “permanent tax cut.” You may be rubbing your eyes and squinting at that last sentence to try to make sure you saw it right the first time. Nancy Pelosi actually said those words. She said “permanent tax cut.” That is why I said in the title to this post that we won the debate. Isn’t it amazing how a sea change is political thinking came come about in such an off hand way? One of the most doctrinaire Democrats in the country now agrees with Ronald Reagan and Mitt Romney that the best way to boost the economy is with “permanent tax cuts.”

Ms. Pelosi also said, in the long term, a capital gains tax cut, as pushed by Congressional Republicans, should be considered as part of a “tax simplification” bill.

Ronald Reagan in Heaven and Mitt Romney in Massachusetts must be grinning a little this morning!

~~John Cronin~~

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John Cronin

Prop 8 Pushback

November 8th, 2008 | 32 Comments | Posted in California, Catholics, LDS

I saw a video this morning showing the street demonstrations being conducted by people protesting the passage of Prop 8 in California. They were marching down Market St. in San Francisco and they interviewed one of the leaders of the march and he said that he was no longer “asking” for his rights, he was “demanding” them. Never mind that his fellow Californians had just decided that what he was asking for was not a right conferred on him by the Constitution. It was his “preference.”

They also interviewed a member of a Catholic organization that had helped to pass Prop 8 and he was commenting on the partnership that has grown between the Catholic Church and the LDS Church, in defense of pre-born life and traditional marriage. It is very encouraging to see people willing to take a stand on these important issues, despite the risks. As you may know, there have been threats made on the lives of LDS leaders in the effort to defend traditional marriage in CA. Some have had to have police protection around the clock as a result of the threats.

I am struck by the anti-democratic attitudes of some of the folks opposed to Prop 8. Give us want we want or we’ll go after you personally. They are willing to abide by a popular vote, but only if it goes their way. Grow up, kiddies. You lost in the “market place of ideas” and the people have spoken.

~~John Cronin~~

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Stephanie Davis

Romney: Obama Must be “Educator-in-Chief”

November 7th, 2008 | 32 Comments | Posted in Mitt Romney, Obama, economy

When Mitt used to say, “I can’t wait to get my hands on Washington,” I believed him.  Here is a man with the background, knowledge and skills to effect change in the economy, and HE KNOWS IT!  Ann Romney used to say “I’ve never seen anyone work harder than this guy.”  It must be really hard for him to sit by, knowing his expertise and skill in turning things around isn’t being used at such a critical time.

Some excerpts from a great new interview with Mitt.  Notice his first interview after the election is with Fortune, an economy magazine.

Romney: Obama Must be “Educator-in-Chief”

“Any management advice for the next president? How does he rally a depressed nation to meet the challenges we face?

He should forget entirely about reelection and focus solely on helping the nation at a critical time. (Good idea, let someone with some actual financial expertise and experience have a turn in 4 years)  He should dismiss the people who helped him win the election and bring in people who are above politics and above party.

The unions have helped Barack Obama. They will hope to be paid back….This legislation would do more to harm America’s long-term competitiveness than almost anything I can imagine.

Right now, the auto industry is on life support, and its prospects look extremely dim. But they don’t need to be. The industry could be turned around.(Hmm… I wonder who could do that?)

There’s strong populist sentiment against free trade deals. Given that, how does an American president move forward on this?

I can only hope the President abandons the populist current, which seems to be growing in our country. (Yea, that seems likely)”

It’s great to see Mitt back out there already!

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John Cronin

Stocks Sink as Outlook Darkens

November 7th, 2008 | 1 Comment | Posted in Business, Jobs, stocks

So far global markets have been immune to President-Elect Obama’s charm. To make matters worse, the bailout chow line keeps getting longer as the struggling U.S. auto companies that just got a $25 billion tax payer bailout now are coming back for seconds. Now they want an additional $25 billion. Brace yourselves for the coming inflation. This is not real money they are handing out, this is fast depreciating paper, backed by nothing.

~~John Cronin~~

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122597213940304699.html

Stocks suffered a second straight round of steep losses amid new signs that bellwether companies and their customers are struggling. Jittery investors also placed early bets that jobs data due out Friday morning will be bleak.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished down 443.48 points on Thursday, off 4.9%, at 8695.79, hurt by declines in all 30 of its components. The Dow has fallen 929.49 points, or 9.66%, over the past two days, the biggest percentage drop since the crash of October 1987.

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